Do AirGradient PM2.5 Monitors Stay Accurate Over Time? We Found Out!

Kazbek Tursun
October 21, 2025
4 min read

Low-cost PM2.5 sensors are increasingly used for long-term air quality monitoring because they are affordable, easy to operate, and capable of delivering continuous, high-resolution data without the need for on-site maintenance. Their main limitation, however, is reduced accuracy compared to regulatory instruments, which, in turn, raises questions about their stability and the frequency of calibration required. A common concern is whether these sensors experience drift – a gradual change in response over time that could compromise data reliability. We decided to investigate to see if PM2.5 drift is something you need to worry about with your AirGradient monitors.

Data and methods

To assess drift, we analyzed continuous PM2.5 monitoring data from two locations that are part in our global colocation network:

  • London, UK: 2 years (May 2023 – May 2025)
  • Chennai, India: 3 months (September – November, 2023).

We chose these sites because they feature low / medium, and high average PM2.5 concentrations, allowing assessment of the drift across different pollution levels. Each site has one beta attenuation monitor (BAM) as the reference-grade instrument and, alongside it, are co-located AirGradient (AG) monitors equipped with Plantower PMS5003T modules for measuring PM2.5.

Performance was evaluated using a 24 h (daily) resolution with EPA corrected data according to US EPA guidelines for low-cost sensor testing, using the following metrics:

  • Root mean square error (RMSE): Measure of the average error of a sensor (EPA target: < 7 µg/m3);
  • Normalized RMSE (nRMSE): RMSE normalized by the reference mean concentration (EPA target: < 30%);
  • Coefficient of determination (R2): quantifies how well a sensor captures the air pollution trends seen by the reference (EPA target: ≥ 0.70);
  • Coefficient of variation (CV): Represents agreement among sensors, precision (EPA target: < 30%);
  • Slope: represents sensitivity of a sensor, value below 1 indicate underestimation, while above 1 overestimation relative to the reference (EPA acceptable range: 1 ± 0.35)).

The London dataset was aggregated by month, whereas the Chennai dataset was aggregated by week due to the limited amount of data available to quantify performance metrics.

Results

London, UK.

In London, the average reference concentration for the two-year study period was 11.3 ug/m3 (Fig. 2), with 52% of measurements below 10 ug/m3. The precision among the four AG sensors was excellent, with a coefficient of variation of 6.1%.

Fig. 2. Performance of AirGradient sensors in London from June 2023 to June 2025. (A) Monthly average concentrations, (B) RMSE stability, (C) R2 stability, (D) Slope stability.

The RMSE values stayed below the EPA target value (7 ug/m3) throughout the entire study, ranging from 1.9 to 7.0 ug/m3, indicating high accuracy. R2 values averaged 0.80 across all sensors without systematic drop or grow. The average slopes for AG1-AG4 were 1.2, 1.1, 1.1, and 1.1, respectively, with nearly all values falling within the EPA recommended range (Fig. 2).

Chennai, India.

In contrast to London, Chennai exhibited substantially higher PM2.5 concentrations, averaging 26.8 ug/m3, with no measurement below the detection limit (Fig. 3). The AG sensors demonstrated excellent precision (CV = 1.1%), high accuracy (average RMSE = 3.5 ug/m3), and strong correlations with the reference (R2 = 0.91). The average slopes averaged 0.96 for both sensors, with only one week dipping slightly below the EPA limit (Fig. 3). No temporal trends were observed for all of the performance metrics, indicating absence of systematic drift even at high concentrations.

**Fig. 3. Performance of AirGradient sensors in Chennai from September to November, 2023. (A) Monthly average concentrations, (B) RMSE stability, (C) R2 stability, (D) Slope stability.

Conclusions

  • No evidence of systematic drift. Monthly performance statistics showed no consistent upward or downward trends, indicating stable sensor behavior across all locations and for both daily and hourly data.

  • Performance within target ranges. Most accuracy and precision metrics remained within EPA-recommended limits, with occasional deviations occurring only under low-concentration or high-noise conditions, not due to drift. Even at the finer timescale (1 hour resolution), the performance metrics generally met the EPA target criteria.

  • Reliable long-term operation. The findings suggest that AirGradient PM2.5 sensors, once co-located and properly calibrated, can deliver reliable long-term measurements without requiring frequent recalibration.

  • Scope limitations. This study analyzed two locations, which is not a statistically representative sample. While no drift was observed in these cases, individual units could still experience deviations over time. Nevertheless, the results consistently demonstrate overall stability and robustness of the AirGradient sensors under diverse environmental conditions.

Acknowledgements

We would like to thank the Imperial College London, UK and Sri Ramachandra Institute of Higher Education and Research (Deemed to be University), India for kindly providing the reference data for this study.

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